Coronavirus Epidemic

[V-Tach]

Rockport is packed with out of towners this weekend.....it's worse than any holiday weekend in recent memory............

Pandemic? You wouldn't know it..........Haven't seen anyone but a few older locals wearing masks..........

 

[Axxe55]

Anderson county has never made it mandatory either. It seems every time I go out in public, there are fewer people wearing masks. This is IMO a very good sign. People are losing their fear.

 

[HKShooter65]

Sweden is currently an interesting self imposed epidemiological experiment.

Sweden's population is 35.2% that of Texas. Less population density with about 2/3 the land area to spread out as compared to our Republic.

Sweden choose, for the most part, to not lock down against the Coronavirus as a society.

The prognosticators are predicting that Swedish deaths will peak at about 494 deaths per day in about 3 weeks on or about May 22nd.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/sweden

Texas deaths per day averaged, at a high about 33 per day.

So, if my cyphering is correct......

Swedish deaths per day per capita will be about 46,300% higher that the Texas peak.

I, like many of you, have wondered if we shut down too thoroughly and to vigorously and too disruptively.


Yes, I agree with the sentiment here, that our state's hospitsaly have been mostly empty.

But....
Were we to have emulated what is now playing out in non-shut-down Sweden our path might have been tragically and gruesomely morbid.


HKS

 

[Axxe55]

Some people just never learn.....

Oh well.......

Spreadsheet being updated.

 

[HKShooter65]

Some people just never learn.....

Oh well.......

Spreadsheet being updated.

I'm trying to understand.

My conclusion of the failure of Sweden to shut down in response to the COVID threat is that "Swedish deaths per day per capita will be about 46,300% higher than our Texas' peak".

Epdidmiologist everywhere are intensely studying this seemingly untoward outcome.

I realize that the compounding factor is that the financial and societal structure may be far less disrupted that is is in our state.

Articulate your intended interpretation of my data?

 

[RoadRunner]

 

[kbaxter60]

So, if my cyphering is correct......

...and that's where it fell apart.

You can't compare PREDICTED deaths in one country to actual deaths in our state.
I mean, you would like to. But you can't
"Prognosticators" also were calling for 2 million deaths in the US. Were they even close? We are gonna have to get busy with this dying thing if we're gonna make it. The new prediction of 100,000 MAY be a possiblity, but will still be off by more than and ORDER OF MAGNITUDE.

Oh, but I did see an interview with "Sweden's Dr Fauci". He seemed very reasonable and practical and, most of all, honest and credible. Not like that evil Fauci scum.

Carry on.

Edit: Sorry, but I replied before I saw the graphical warning. Carry on.

 

[toddnjoyce]

Y’all get back to me in a year. Meanwhile remember that while every death is a tragedy, a million deaths is just a statistic.

And 100% of humans will die.

 

[TX OMFS]

And IF, a big if, you are a physician

If he's a physician then Moonpie is Gaston Glock.

 

[TX OMFS]

Ya know, this could all be taken to 100 by posting a selfie of yourself in a medical facility non-patient area, holding a business card with "Suck it TGT, Love HKShooter65" written on the back. Don't even need to show your face (not like we know what you look like after all).

Just sayin'

There are way more non-doctor employees in those areas than doctors. That wouldn't prove anything.

 

[Axxe55]

If he's a physician then Moonpie is Gaston Glock.

ROFLMAO Funny! Post of the night!

 

[pronstar]

I'm trying to understand.

My conclusion of the failure of Sweden to shut down in response to the COVID threat is that "Swedish deaths per day per capita will be about 46,300% higher than our Texas' peak".

Epdidmiologist everywhere are intensely studying this seemingly untoward outcome.

I realize that the compounding factor is that the financial and societal structure may be far less disrupted that is is in our state.

Articulate your intended interpretation of my data?

The real story will be how Swedes do when this virus pops back up next season.

Will their anticipated herd immunity provide lower numbers moving forward?

My guess is yes, but I’m curious to see how it plays out.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

 

[HKShooter65]

The real story will be how Swedes do when this virus pops back up next season.

Will their anticipated herd immunity provide lower numbers moving forward?

My guess is yes, but I’m curious to see how it plays out.


Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

I have, never in my career, said "We do not know" so very many times.

A dear friend has donated serum four times thus far after having convalesced from the Covid19 virus, having acquired it in Gunnison County skiing at spring break.

Her IgG has tested positive 1:64 and 1:128 but the reality is that "We do not know" if it is an antibody uniquely dedicated to warding off further exposures to COVID19 or is it a residual and ineffectual anamnestic response to an inconsequential Coronavirus rhinitis she may have had in 2018???

Hopefully her serum donation this week will assist in finding some answers to rescue our society from this predicament.

An interesting sidebar:
She had but minimal symptomatology but persisted in testing positive to the viral RNA for nearly a month post-initial-detection.

Sidebar 2.0.
I am a physician with a lot of experience in this area and continue to wonder why some agitators here cause trouble needlessly.

 

[jrbfishn]

If he's a physician then Moonpie is Gaston Glock.

I knew there was something off about him!!!
DAMN!

Sent by an idjit coffeeholic from my SM-G892A using Tapatalk

 

[Axxe55]

Calling Dr. Crux! Calling Dr. Crux! Stat! LOL!

 

[candcallen]

Calling Dr. Cuck! Calling Dr. Cuck! Stat! LOL!

FIFY

 

[Axxe55]

I knew there was something off about him!!!
DAMN!

Sent by an idjit coffeeholic from my SM-G892A using Tapatalk

He's been blowing up my inbox tonight, trying to convince me he's a real doctor. I told him several hours ago to just stop! He has a serious learning defect.

 

[stdreb27]

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/index.htm


Guys read this. Maybe a medical person can chime in.

Why did 60k turn into 37k?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[HKShooter65]

Kids, go play elsewhere.

These forums can be a wealth of information.

You are just distractions.

He's been blowing up my inbox tonight, trying to convince me he's a real doctor. I told him several hours ago to just stop! He has a serious learning defect.

 

[Texasgordo]

If he's a physician then Moonpie is Gaston Glock.

Never heard of her