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When will Latinos outnumber whites in Texas?

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  • Ole Cowboy

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    When will Latinos outnumber whites in Texas? Experts have a new prediction

    Texas got a little older and a little more diverse last year, data released Thursday from the U.S. Census Bureau shows.

    The state’s median age increased from 34.5 in July 2016 to 34.6 in July 2017 — a trend that state demographer Lloyd Potter said is a result of baby boomers continuing to age.

    “Even though we’re one of the youngest states, we are getting older,” he said.

    1529544015-median-age-change-counties.jpg

    But as baby boomers start dying in greater numbers in coming years, the state’s median age could start to decline, Potter said.

    A larger population of young people would be a boon for Texas’ ability to fill an ever-increasing number of jobs to power a fast-growing economy.

    Migration into the state, coupled with generally higher fertility among Latinos than in the non-Hispanic white population, has also driven an increase in the state’s Latino population, he said.

    Texas added 234,000 Hispanic residents over the year, the most of any state, bringing the overall Hispanic population to roughly 11.2 million.

    Still, Potter said that his office, which produces detailed population estimates for the coming years and decades, pushed forward its forecast for when the state would switch from having more white people than any other race to having a Latino plurality.

    “We had projected that the Latino population would exceed the ... white population by 2020 and that’s probably not going to happen,” he said.

    Based on the new trends, he said, he now expects Latinos to outnumber non-Hispanic white people in Texas by 2022.

    That’s probably a result of a slight decline in birth rates among Latinos as well as a slowing of immigration from Mexico and other Latin American countries over the last decade, Potter said.

    Meanwhile, he said, growth in the state’s white population has effectively flattened.

    In any case, demographers have said for years that Texas’ increasing ethnic diversity will shape the state’s future.

    The Lone Star State’s populations of Asians and people who identified as two or more races both grew by about 4 percent over the year.

    And at 3.8 million, Texas had the largest black or African-American population of any state in the country.

    Nationally, Asians were the fastest-growing racial group, the data show, up 3.1 percent — an increase that is largely due to migration as opposed to natural increase, which is when more people are born in a group than die.

    The nation’s second-fastest-growing racial group was people of two or more races. That, demographers said, was mostly due to natural increase.

    Non-Hispanic whites were the only group to actually see a slight population loss over the year.

    Experts caution against expecting demographic shifts — which tend to move slowly — to immediately translate into political shifts.

    In Texas, at least, Southern Methodist University political scientist Cal Jillson told The Dallas Morning News when former Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez became the first Latina to win a major-party nomination for governor, “there's a 20-year gulf between where we are now and when a Hispanic electorate will help create a [Democratic] majority.”

    1529543763-diverse-nation.jpg


    https://www.dallasnews.com/business...not-become-mostly-latino-soon-experts-thought
    Lynx Defense
     

    pronstar

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    When I worked at my previous job, a Hispanic ad agency shared part of our office.

    Surprisingly, nearly all conservative Republicans.

    Go figure...
    Advertising, like most other creative industries, generally is massively “progressive”.


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    When I worked at my previous job, a Hispanic ad agency shared part of our office.

    Surprisingly, nearly all conservative Republicans.

    Go figure...
    Advertising, like most other creative industries, generally is massively “progressive”.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro


    I grew up with Mexicans. Dad worked construction and they were everywhere. Lived in west Texas. A bunch there too.

    You're more right then you say. The vast majority are devout Catholic. They have arranged marriages. Don't do the gay thing. Abortion is out the question. Birth control is also a no NO. Race mix? Oh hell no, extremely rare. La Raza to the core. Even after Spain conquered the Aztecs.

    Super duper conservative. When I read about democrats importing them for voters. It conflicts with what I've experienced.
     

    Ole Cowboy

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    I grew up with Mexicans. Dad worked construction and they were everywhere. Lived in west Texas. A bunch there too.

    You're more right then you say. The vast majority are devout Catholic. They have arranged marriages. Don't do the gay thing. Abortion is out the question. Birth control is also a no NO. Race mix? Oh hell no, extremely rare. La Raza to the core. Even after Spain conquered the Aztecs.

    Super duper conservative. When I read about democrats importing them for voters. It conflicts with what I've experienced.
    I grew up S side San Antonio on a dirt street, I just didn't grow up with Mexicans I thought I was one as I got as brown as they did in the summer time. And yes what you and I saw is true, but that is old school, today it's different, then add in the 24 million illegals and you got a whole bunch that are just waiting for the day they can take it back and they plan on it!
     
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    I grew up S side San Antonio on a dirt street, I just didn't grow up with Mexicans I thought I was one as I got as brown as they did in the summer time. And yes what you and I saw is true, but that is old school, today it's different, then add in the 24 million illegals and you got a whole bunch that are just waiting for the day they can take it back and they plan on it!


    Yep. We took Texas from the Mexican and they're slowly taking it back. The only thing to do is have more children. Like they do.
     

    AustinN4

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    Soon, very, very, soon: http://dailycaller.com/2018/06/22/mexican-candidate-immigration-speech/ (wants you to subscribe but you can click thru it)
    Friendlier link: https://www.dailywire.com/news/32202/mexican-prez-candidate-calls-mass-exodus-us-paul-bois

    According to a report from Eluniversal, candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) said the people should flee Mexico to find a life in the United States, which is a pretty dismal message coming from a presidential candidate. The equivalent would be President Trump telling Americans to flee for Canada.

    "And soon, very soon — after the victory of our movement — we will defend all the migrants in the American continent and all the migrants in the world," Obrador said on Tuesday while calling on people to "leave their towns and find a life in the United States."

    This fleeing to the United States would be "a human right we will defend."
     
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    I believe around here they already outnumber whites, my students are about 85% Hispanic.


    I watch the the school bus. There's maybe two or three Anglo children that get off around here. There's other examples but a school bus is a pretty good prediction of the future. White folks will always exist. The rich want cheap labor. What China has. You're not in the picture.
     

    easy rider

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    I watch the the school bus. There's maybe two or three Anglo children that get off around here. There's other examples but a school bus is a pretty good prediction of the future. White folks will always exist. The rich want cheap labor. What China has. You're not in the picture.
    Competition and and a good economy keeps wages above cheap labor.
     
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    Competition and and a good economy keeps wages above cheap labor.


    Then why the immigration? They did it once with the second wave. Statue of Liberty. European immigrants only. The first was British. Then the third wave, every country up for grabs as the world powers change. The Indians got screwed. We're getting screwed. There'll be somebody else getting screwed...

    I have no true idea. All I know is, since 2001 it's been in high gear. Two years ago it was called a conspiracy theory.

    I had as many kids as I could have.
     

    karlac

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    Grew up not aware there was much of a difference, we were all pretty much in the same boat immediately after WWII.
     
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