News About The Ukraine War

[cycleguy2300]

I've mentioned PERUN's videos before.

Fact based and really digs down into the data to provide information and pulls no punches on either side.





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[oldag]

I've mentioned PERUN's videos before.

Fact based and really digs down into the data to provide information and pulls no punches on either side.





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Readers Digest version (e.g., yes Russian can or no Russian cannot)?

 

[cycleguy2300]

Readers Digest version (e.g., yes Russian can or no Russian cannot)?

Looking at economic data russia is not likely to have ramped up production significantly.

russia does have production capability, but much of russia's claimed "production" is likely soviet produced and simply made ready by russia after sitting out for decades.

Lookong at OSINT data russia is likely producing new, top of the line equipment because losses keep a 10-20% loss rate of the newest equipment, but the as second tier equipment losses continue third tier losses grow. This indicates new production and delivery while 2nd tier stuff is used and consumed 3rd tier stuff is pushed out from storage depots.

I.e. russia is still a threat, but cannot keep this going forever.


Not his graph, but shows the same thing.
Red is the oldest, least upgraded T-80V
Yellow is the 2nd tier T-80U
Green is the T-80 BVM, the most modern upgraded version of the series which was last built in the early 1990s iirc.

Again, all the data disproves some who try to claim that russia sent its old equipment first and is saving the good stuff for later... nope just not seen in the data.

Its easy to listen to withoht watching

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[cycleguy2300]

T.me/DIUKRAINE

The GUR telegram channel

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[cycleguy2300]

Black Sea Fleet Command Center hit by missles. Ukraine continues to shape the battlefield.

Additionally, the advance near Robotyne continues to make headwayas Ukraine pushes toward the coast to isolate Crimea. As additional equipment (M1 Abrams) become available I think we can expect to see larger gains or even a breakthrough and rush to the Sea of Azov, which is only about 50 miles away

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[cycleguy2300]

Fall out from the Storm Shadow strike?

Could lead to additional opportunities as they are less protected away from ground based radar and anti-air missles...

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[cycleguy2300]

Explosions suspected to be missle strikes reported in Sevastopol.

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[cycleguy2300]

And curious things at the russian hospital Kadyrov is at where he is visiting his uncle and definitely not in a coma...

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[cycleguy2300]

Continued advances by the ЗСУ widening the salient betweet Robotyne and Verbove, about 80km NW of Melitopol in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Widening the push makes it more difficult for a russian thrust from the flanks to encircle the point of the thrust.

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[cycleguy2300]

Now we know what the smoke was...

HQ of the russian black sea fleet got missiled

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[General Zod]

Latest on the Ukrainian breakthrough of Russia's third line of defense:

Institute for the Study of War

Ukrainian armored vehicles are operating beyond the final line of the Russian defensive layer that Ukrainian forces in western Zaporizhia Oblast are currently penetrating, although ISW is not yet prepared to assess that Ukrainian forces have broken fully

www.understandingwar.org

 

[oldag]

Latest on the Ukrainian breakthrough of Russia's third line of defense:

Institute for the Study of War

Ukrainian armored vehicles are operating beyond the final line of the Russian defensive layer that Ukrainian forces in western Zaporizhia Oblast are currently penetrating, although ISW is not yet prepared to assess that Ukrainian forces have broken fully

www.understandingwar.org

Ukrainian armored vehicles are operating beyond the final line of the Russian defensive layer that Ukrainian forces in western Zaporizhia Oblast are currently penetrating, although ISW is not yet prepared to assess that Ukrainian forces have broken fully through this Russian defensive layer. Geolocated footage posted on September 21 indicates that Ukrainian armored vehicles advanced south of the Russian anti-tank ditches and dragon’s teeth obstacles that are part of a tri-layered defense and engaged in limited combat immediately west of Verbove (18km southeast of Orikhiv).[1] It is unclear if Ukrainian forces retain these positions, however. This is the first observed instance of Ukrainian forces operating armored vehicles beyond the Russian tri-layer defense.[2] The presence of Ukrainian armored vehicles beyond the final line of the current Russian defensive layer indicates that the Ukrainians have secured their breach of the first two lines of this layer sufficiently to operate vehicles through the breach. Ukrainian forces have likely suppressed Russian artillery and other anti-tank systems in the area enough to bring their vehicles forward.[3] The Ukrainian ability to bring armored vehicles to and through the most formidable Russian defenses intended to stop them and to operate these vehicles near prepared Russian defensive positions are important signs of progress in the Ukrainian counteroffensive.

 

[General Zod]

Ukrainian armored vehicles are operating beyond the final line of the Russian defensive layer that Ukrainian forces in western Zaporizhia Oblast are currently penetrating, although ISW is not yet prepared to assess that Ukrainian forces have broken fully through this Russian defensive layer. Geolocated footage posted on September 21 indicates that Ukrainian armored vehicles advanced south of the Russian anti-tank ditches and dragon’s teeth obstacles that are part of a tri-layered defense and engaged in limited combat immediately west of Verbove (18km southeast of Orikhiv).[1] It is unclear if Ukrainian forces retain these positions, however. This is the first observed instance of Ukrainian forces operating armored vehicles beyond the Russian tri-layer defense.[2] The presence of Ukrainian armored vehicles beyond the final line of the current Russian defensive layer indicates that the Ukrainians have secured their breach of the first two lines of this layer sufficiently to operate vehicles through the breach. Ukrainian forces have likely suppressed Russian artillery and other anti-tank systems in the area enough to bring their vehicles forward.[3] The Ukrainian ability to bring armored vehicles to and through the most formidable Russian defenses intended to stop them and to operate these vehicles near prepared Russian defensive positions are important signs of progress in the Ukrainian counteroffensive.

Even a partial breakthrough is still a breakthrough, and it looks like Ukrainian armor is operating behind the defensive line. Progress is progress. If they can hold the position and exploit it, then they'll have "fully broken through". Judging by how the last year and a half has gone, it seems likely they'll be able to expand the breakthrough and make it permanent.

 

[cycleguy2300]

Early, so not being put out as certain, but russian BSF commander Sokolov may have been killed innthe Ukrainian strike against the BSF HQ in Sevastopol

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[baboon]

I wish youtube would post current real videos, instead of old shit & AI video propaganda.

 

[Johnny Diamond]

I trust @cycleguy2300, and @generalzod for an honest appraisal that's why I still check in here from time to time.
Johnny

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[General Zod]

I wish youtube would post current real videos, instead of old shit & AI video propaganda.

Go to the sources Cyke and I post from. There's usually video that's either confirmed, or comes with a disclaimer that it's unconfirmed.


If the Ukrainians got Sokolov, that's one hell of a win for them.

 

[cycleguy2300]

I wish youtube would post current real videos, instead of old shit & AI video propaganda.

Instagram has a video showing a second missile hitting. There was a photo (not sure if I posted it) showing the #2 missile a few hundred feet from striking, in a dive.


It is really impressive just how much get caught on camera these days.

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[cycleguy2300]

It is an area saturated in defensive structures and mines, but it is possible this persons reporting is correct. It's probably just an advance, not a breakout, but each advance increases the chances for a breakput and rush to the sea.

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[cycleguy2300]

War is hell and drones are raining death from above.

Note the back hard armor gets blown off.

t.me/WarArchive_ua/5266

Give it the https:// if you dont have telegram

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