He would win Texas and all of the South except FL/VA. Would win all the mountain and plains states except CO. How many electoral votes is that?
I doubt it's much more than 100, maybe 125. The Dems get 100 with just California, NY, and NJ. It's essentially impossible for a Republican to win without Florida.
edit: just looked up an electoral map. If you assume all of the south except FL/VA, not counting the midwest states like Iowa and Missouri which can swing both ways, plus the mountain states except NM and CO is about 150.
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