Think the ammo market is about to get better? Think again.

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  • Moonpie

    Omnipotent Potentate for hire.
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    Gunz are icky.
    Think the ammo market is about to get better? Think again.


    Well guys...............there it is. Better get to neckbearding the .223/5.56 while you can.



    "The real issue this year is the ”ongoing” powder shortage. It is going to be worse this year then the last two previous years. I have spoken to executives from the three major powder manufacturers in the US. And it is bad, I am talking really bad. I am not trying to scare anyone. Or cause an arbitrage in the market. I am simply telling you what I have been told. No manufacturers are taking new customers in 14 and possibly 15…Rifle powder is virtually impossible to find.
    …The market has gotten soft on the 223 side. The supply created by Sandy Hook. Is estimated to dry up by mid year. And then expect to see prices creep back and availability to become sparse by late third quarter to early fourth quarter.
    The same issues of availability is going to be compounded due to the powder supply. The Load Assemble and Package (LAP) manufacturers are not going to have powder."

     

    Chupacabra Hunter

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    …The market has gotten soft on the 223 side. The supply created by Sandy Hook. Is estimated*to dry up by mid year.*And then expect to see prices creep back and availability to become sparse by late third quarter to early fourth quarter.



    Those comments do not make sense. Am I missing something? Can someone explain it to me? Thanks moonpie for posting.... inquiring minds want to know.
     

    Moonpie

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    Gunz are icky.
    I'm reading it as after Sandy Hook the 223/5.56 ammo vanished as hordes of people grabbed what they could get. The availability went to zero.
    The producers cranked up to meet the demand.
    The ammo is now everywhere.
    But the guy is saying powder is NOW the issue for producers.
    So loaded ammo production will now slow.
    Ammo is still selling briskly. Soon the available supply will dwindle as production slows due to powder bottlenecks.
    Ammo will get rare again. Hence more $$$.
     
    Last edited:

    dustycorgill

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    Jan 28, 2013
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    These guys that write these articles kind of piss me off. I mean, are they trying to incite a frenzy? These are the exact articles that create the friggin shortages. They write the article and you have every Tom, Dick and Harry standing at Academy and Wal Mart every morning with all their cousins and ammo resellers buying up all the ammo. Then try and turn around and sell it at crazy prices, which some moron will pay.....creating the frenzy. REally.....I wish these guys would just chill out.

    No offense to you MoonPie, you just posted the article........I know you didnt write it. My frustration lies with the people writing this stuff.
     

    Chupacabra Hunter

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    I'm reading it as after Sandy Hook the 223/5.56 ammo vanished as hordes of people grabbed what they could get. The availability went to zero.
    The producers cranked up to meet the demand.
    The ammo is now everywhere.
    But the guy is saying powder is NOW the issue for producers.
    So loaded ammo prosecution will now slow.
    Ammo is still selling briskly. Soon the available supply will dwindle as production slows due to powder bottlenecks.
    Ammo will get rare again. Hence more $$$.

    That makes sense, but that is not what the author of the article said. He said that the market of 233 was soft due to Sandy Hook. To me, a soft market means that demand does not put additional pressure on supply. That would result in ample supplies and retails being steady or even dropping.
     

    Flewda

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    Apr 5, 2012
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    Ohio (But my heart is in Texas)
    I don't know if I believe that it's going to be an issue or not, but the fact is many people probably will, and the NBs will be gobbling it up while there are no limits, normal prices, and reasonable availability. So, if you are low on that caliber and want to be going to the range you may want to start buying a box or two as you can.
     

    NOLA Jack

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    More bullshit, just like the Russia cutting off exports article.
     
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