Not necessarily disagreeing with you, but it also depends on "who and what" someone saw leading up to the election. If someone watched CNN, Dems were gonna' win, if someone watched FOX, Republicans were gonna' win. I have a hard time believing the accuracy of anything I see or hear on any news channel these days!
I don't have cable. Most of my political watching comes around on Sunday morning with Face the Nation, Meet the Press, and another who's name I can't recall.
Also watch the McLaghling(sp) group of PBS.
Catch others as I see them, but those are the main ones I'm able to watch.