I'm sure he thinks he does, because he's doing the types of things a Senator does to run for President. And he's looked at an electoral map and probably sees some path to victory. At minimum, Cruz would get the states Romney got in '12. Romney lost by 126 electoral votes, 206 to 332. If Cruz can get Iowa, Florida and Ohio, that's 259. If he gets Nevada thats 265. If he gets Colorado that's 274 and Cruz is President. Obama's margin of victory against Romney in those states was around 5%.I am really liking that guy. Does he have a chance in '16?
Cruz would almost certainly get a better turnout than Romney, and Hillary will be fighting 8 years of Obama fatigue. Cruz definitely has a chance.