Yep, the logic makes sense. The premises are shaky, though. Why would I accept that they had zero new cases, when they are reporting only 80k total in a country of 1.5 billion?Ok, epiphany time. That was just the push I needed to think this through.
Tittilating thought of the day.....Its been driving me CRAZY all week that China has ZERO -0- new cases. How the frig is that possible??? Then the answer hit me and everything fell into place.
1.5B peeps there. They ALL have it. Only way to have -0- new cases right?
Now at a reasonable mortality rate of 1% thats 15M.
Now the math, the lies, the cell phone article and the -0- new cases all comes into focus.
Admittedly, with info available this is just my theory on some things that dont add up.
.
Very very true. My exact point also.Yep, the logic makes sense. The premises are shaky, though. Why would I accept that they had zero new cases, when they are reporting only 80k total in a country of 1.5 billion?
Antibody tests are on the way. All the healthcare workers will be getting them. That will tell the true story
You must be addicted to hearing yourself talk. Ya I know you think you know it all because you know someone but this chicken little bs from you about everything is getting old. I would ask if you will admit you were wrong in a few weeks when proven so but since we have gone down that road with you I know you wont.https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
We should hope that numerous individuals may, unknowingly, have the virus and IgG/IgM tests may be soon to come, though widespread distribution and testing is unlikely to be a priority.
Herd immunity fails to occur with seasonal influenza due to the rapid evolution of the viral surface antigens. Pray COVID is unlike Flu!
The low end of so called Herd-Immunity occurs when at least 80-85% of people are no longer susceptible.
The mid-case epidimiological scenarios show Texas peaking in deaths and medical resource utilization around April 16-18.
Deaths per day fall below 10 the second week of June. Perhaps, a target date to open things back up???
We can hope to attend July 4th celebrations if all goes well.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
Click on the middle of the green bar in this link to access the drop-down for individual states.
It's a nice visual display of what we Texans should expect, though not very reassuring.
HKS
How much dignity do you have to sacrifice?
I've said for years if there's a wall to be built it should be a round NY and CA.So, here are the latest figures as of Sunday, March 29:
Total Chinavirus cases in the U.S. = 132,893
Total cases in NY, NJ, CA, MI, WA and FL = 89,168
Cases in rest of the U.S. = 43,728
Now, if we consider approximately 300 million people in the other 44 states of the union, that comes down to a current infection rate of .00000146%.
Sounds like the solution is to have the National Guard seal the borders of those states and we would be good. Might want to throw in Louisiana, but they are our neighbors so will leave that on the table.
And, if you look at the numbers in each of the 6 states that have almost 70% of the cases, the vast majority of those cases are in a handful of cities. Interesting.....